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THE DAILY EDGE: 12 JULY 2021: Technical Warning Follow Up

Travelling day.

TECHNICALS WATCH

On July 6, I wrote that “My favorite technical analysis firm is getting antsy, as under-the-surface deteriorating breadth measures make the market “increasingly vulnerable” to a short-term correction in a higher-volatility environment.”

Volatility occurred on July 8 without much of a broad snap back on July 9. While market bottoms are events, market tops are processes. If this is such a “process” underway, we are only at its beginning and thus cannot confirm the end of this bull just yet. It could only be short-term problems, potentially to be overcome with renewed buying, particularly in small caps where most of the recent damage was done.

This chart from Lance Roberts illustrates the diverging trends:

Yields Plunge Dollar 07-09-21, Yields Plunge. Dollar Surges. The Reflation Trade Unravels. 07-09-21

Lance also has this money flow chart warning of potential short-term problems:

Yields Plunge Dollar 07-09-21, Yields Plunge. Dollar Surges. The Reflation Trade Unravels. 07-09-21