Edge and Odds

The enemy of knowledge is not ignorance, it’s the illusion of knowledge (Stephen Hawking)

It ain’t what you don’t know that gets you into trouble. It’s what you know for sure that just ain’t so (Mark Twain)

Edge and Odds

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THE DAILY EDGE: 25 JUNE 2019

GONE FISHIN’!

Back July 1st.

2 thoughts on “THE DAILY EDGE: 25 JUNE 2019”

  1. This is entertaining — the 30 year mortgage rate as a percentage change; the recent trend with a 6.6% decline is somewhat unusual, of not alarming. However, 30 yr mortgages are really not going down that much, even though the 10 yr yield is slipping below 2%. Is this a conundrum or the final gasp before a major crash?

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=ohrx

  2. The charts above offer strong evidence that our economy is in the midst of a massive structural change. Two of the three mainstream employment statistics — labor force participation and employment-to-population — document a structural change that seems deeper than just the result of a business cycle downturn. Unemployment has essentially reached its “natural” rate, but labor force participation and employment-to-population are both very low compared with other post-recession periods.

    https://www.advisorperspectives.com/dshort/updates/2019/06/13/u-s-workforce-recovery

    Five Decades of Middle-Class Wages: May 2019 Update
    by Jill Mislinski, 6/21/19

    https://www.advisorperspectives.com/dshort/updates/2019/06/21/five-decades-of-middle-class-wages-may-2019-update

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